The Sideline Observer

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Fantasy Football Advice: Week 14

At this point in the fantasy season, every team has hit playoff season. Whether it be in the consolation bracket looking for pride or in the winners bracket looking for that sweet cash prize, the time to win is here. Decisions for your lineup haven’t been as important until now given more injuries, your league’s trade deadline, and the horrific situation with Kareem Hunt.

Many are scrambling to find a player on waivers to bolster their team and losing their mind on who they should start. As mentioned in our week 12 article, here at The Sideline Observer we want our readers to take our fantasy advice and triumph over their buddies, coworkers, loved ones, and that one person you didn’t want to be in the league in the first place.

So, here’s our official week 14 fantasy advice and may the odds be ever in your favor…

QB Start of the Week: QB Jameis Winston, vs. NO

Last time we recommended to start Jameis Winston was in week six: the first game he started all season. Against Atlanta, he threw for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns en route to a 30.7 point performance, placing him as the highest scoring quarterback in week six. No means to brag, but just putting it out there…

Resolving a troubling quarterback situation in Tampa, Winston has finally emerged as the lead guy. He’s thrown for a total of 461 yards and 4 touchdowns in his last two games, and has added 72 rushing yards as well. Jameis has averaged 20.4 fantasy points in the last three weeks with only one interception in that span. Winston’s been on an absolute tear.

Missing their first meeting due to his three game suspension, Jameis faces division rival New Orleans this coming week in Tampa. The Saints have allowed the 4th most fantasy points to quarterbacks this year at 21.3 points per game and have allowed the 3rd most passing yards per game at 279 pypg. New Orleans is also tied for the most rushing touchdowns given to QB’s with four, so don’t be surprised to see Winston sneak one in along with 300 passing yards and a pair of passing touchdowns. If Ryan Fitzpatrick can have a field day against New Orleans, then expect Jameis to make it rain in Tampa.

D/ST Pickup of the Week: Los Angeles Chargers, vs. CIN

The Chargers’ defense has been consistently good all year with stellar play from DROTY favorite safety Derwin James, and monster defensive ends in Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram. This defense is currently ranked 9th in the league in fantasy points scored and 6th in yards allowed per game. Los Angeles has scored 40 fantasy points in their last five games and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another safe yet strong performance against Cincy.

With the Bengals’ offense being a mess all year, the injuries of both QB Andy Dalton and star WR A.J Green make Cincy one of the worst offenses in the league. Cincinnati is ranked 19th in the league in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing defenses with 6.4 ppg, but have allowed 33 fantasy points to opposing defenses in their last four games. Coming into this week, the Bengals are also 27th in the league in total yards yet are surprisingly 15th in points per game with 23.8 ppg. Don’t let that statistic faze you though as the Chargers’ defense is 4th in the league in opponent red zone scoring. LA holds opposing offenses to touchdowns in the red zone only 50% of the time. You heard it here; the Chargers’ D/ST will not let you down this week.

Waiver Wire Pickup and Start of the Week: WR Chris Godwin, vs. NO

Here at The Sideline Observer, we love our Buccaneers no matter if it’s Fitzmagic or Famous Jamies at QB. Tampa Bay has had a sneaky good offense all year and I expect that to continue this week against New Orleans.

Chris Godwin has come on strong the last few weeks, showing he is developing a relationship with Jameis Winston. He’ll only continue to improve with the extra targets headed his way as a result of Desean Jackson being ruled out with a thumb injury. In the three games Desean Jackson has missed in the last two years, Chris Godwin has gone for a total of 15 catches for 310 yards and a pair of touchdowns. In those three games Jackson has missed, Godwin has averaged 19.3 PPR points a game. That’s slightly higher than what star receiver Odell Beckham averages a game this year.

Chris Godwin is still available in nearly 35% of ESPN leagues and while it is a small sample size, Godwin tends to eat when Jackson is sidelined. If Godwin is still on waivers, go pick him up ASAP and insert him into your lineup. Godwin is going to have a performance that will win you a playoff game.

Overrated:

RB Joe Mixon (CIN)

This week, Joe Mixon travels with his Bungles to face the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers are a middle of the pack defense against running backs, but feature some serious talent in Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram that will be able to lock Mixon down. Many project him to be a top-10 back this week, but on such an awful offense that’s missing Andy Dalton and AJ Green, he won’t be in the top 20. It’s tough to bench such a good player, but if another comparable option, it could be worth the risk. Plus, hot seat candidate Marvin Lewis is going to have to get aggressive if he’s going to secure his job.

WR T.Y. Hilton (IND)

T.Y. Hilton has been on fire in the last three games, but faces a strong pass defense in the Houston Texans. He’s going to have to deal with Kareem Jackson and Jonathan Joseph all day, a pair that has been solid all year long. Sure, Luck is on fire, but this is a game I see the Colts spreading the ball around more- Nyheim Hines breakout game anyone? Hilton shouldn’t be in your top-20 this week.

Underrated:

RB Dalvin Cook (MIN)

Despite being around the top-10 this week for the first time in a while for the oft-injured talent, Dalvin should be ranked even higher. He’s improved in every game back from injury, and now faces a Seattle defense that has been forgiving to the run. Look for Dalvin to go off to the tune of at least 120 yards and a touchdown. The Vikings should be back to rolling the way they were early-season after a couple touch matchups. He’s not too likely to decide a playoff matchup, but he’s definitely going to be a big part.

WR DJ Moore (CAR)

DJ Moore has been experiencing something of a coming out in the past three weeks, with 292 yards and a score, adding another 28 on the ground. The former Terrapin has shown flashes of a great wideout this year, and will continue his ways against a below-average Cleveland defense. This just feels like one of those games where SuperCam just goes crazy, so look for DJ Moore to get in on the fun. Slot him in as a top-15 option.

– Mateo, Michael, & Sean

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